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#831904 by MarkedMan
05 Dec 2012, 15:31
On the ground DL are a fair bit behind, so indeed if you look at the whole experience it would be difficult to rank DL conclusively ahead of VS.

As for FF, I am not sure if the SkyPesos crowd wouldn't be willing to trade some form of redemption cost for the relative ease of upgrading on VS as opposed to DL. Most higher status fliers in the US care most about upgrades; of course with the way DL runs its FF the reality is folks will get the worst of both :D
#831914 by joeyc
05 Dec 2012, 20:21
Indeed, where to begin :P :P

Scrooge wrote:I cannot see DL spending $600m on a non controlling stock purchase, however, if SRB can be convinced to sell part of his 51% to AF/KL then who knows.

From my view point, it's not so much VS, but the large number of LHR slots that DL is looking at, with that said, a VS/DL joint venture would be able to run an hourly shuttle service from JFK in much the same way as BA/AA are doing now.


As JCBR said, SQ will not necessarily be selling for the purchase price, however I do get your point. SRB unlikely to sell part of the 51% in my opinion, but you cannot deny that even at 49% it is a pretty beneficial deal for delta if they have anyone vaguely competent to push their agenda.

Scrooge wrote:SQ have wanted out for years, they just couldn't find anyone willing to spend the money to take a non controlling position in VS.


My two pence on this one. They bought in and looked to cash out around 2006, however since drumming up no interest they have left it on the back burner (I have seen nothing but rumour since) They have not made any advances towards making a package to sell on and have just seen how things go. Now if all these rumours are true and SQ are finally packaging their stake for sale... well we shall see about that one.

Scrooge wrote:
Neil wrote:Threads merged :)


About time you did something.


And as a mod yourself should you not be taking a look to clean up every now and again... or would you be the 49%, SQ equivalent, that sits back and lets the 51% do everything else for you.

I'm going to say thank you Neil for keeping this clean and tidy.

Scrooge wrote:Ok, as a 49% investor DL will have no say in staffing. They need AF/KL to get 2% of VS, then they can start to flex their muscles somewhat.


A little more complicated than that .... it is still 49% say of what goes, they make a balanced argument that will be profitable for all concerned and watch management follow through.

If he does give anything up, also assuming AF/KL play along with DL as opposed to the SRB holding of course... this is talking about a deal separate to an alliance, AF/KLM and DL will be diff entities across that table.

Scrooge wrote:If/when DL and VS tie up their FF programs DL FF's will look at it and laugh, the majority of them will be unwilling to pay to fuel surcharge, the medallion holder will throw their toys from their prams at the idea.


Hmmm, do not know much about the DL FF's although given the market, agreed ii)

Scrooge wrote:On top of that, in most ways the DL J product is superior to the VS product, the only place where VS is better is the W cabin.

As I said above, DL/VS could easily start an hourly shuttle on the JK/LHR route.


Disagree on this one I am afraid, DL J product is not superior, take something apart and judge it's pieces you are not going to be able to take into account the full product... as slinky says, break it down and they may very well be only a slight nudge to VS however take it as a product offering and I think that VS brings it together far better than DL.

(Assuming you mean JFK(USA) as opposed to JK(Jakarta) airport) An hourly shuttle between JFK and LHR??? Where are the magical take off and landing slots going to come from? Would they even have enough interest to fill a flight an hour?!? I say no.. xx( Delta has 1 LHR to NYC VS has 4.. appear to be missing a few. I think that any DL involvement will be trying to push a VS flight or two to its hub in ATL, will be an interesting result for VX though won't it :?

Always a pleasure Scrooge 8D
#831916 by Gpik
05 Dec 2012, 20:59
(Assuming you mean JFK(USA) as opposed to JK(Jakarta) airport) An hourly shuttle between JFK and LHR??? Where are the magical take off and landing slots going to come from? Would they even have enough interest to fill a flight an hour?!? I say no.. xx( Delta has 1 LHR to NYC VS has 4.. appear to be missing a few. I think that any DL involvement will be trying to push a VS flight or two to its hub in ATL, will be an interesting result for VX though won't it :?



DL have three daily flights

DL3 6.20pm
DL1 7.25pm
DL5 9.15pm

Gpik
Last edited by Gpik on 05 Dec 2012, 23:20, edited 1 time in total.
#831917 by willd
05 Dec 2012, 21:38
Couple of thoughts here:

1. SRB will sell his stake if the time is right. He will not be sentimental as some seem to think. He will sell, a controlling stake, if it makes sense. Also worth remembering that his new 'baby' is Virgin Galatic.

2. If DL get 49% it doesn't mean they have no influence. There is no doubt that DL will bring a whole lot of experience to the table and offer a 'new way' of doing things. If they come up with well thought out arguments chances are they will be listened to. As a side this is happening currently at my work. A more experienced company coming in to take a minority non controlling stake- result is new systems which have been cherry picked from the more experienced company. It happens all the time.

3. DL/VS will want to try and head off the BA/AA JV. This will mean the hourly shuttle runs that Scrooge has spoken about. They will fiddle with the slots- ok it might not be as streamlined as the BA/AA offering but I think it will happen.

4. KL a leisure airline? Not sure I would agree with that. I have been rather impressed by their coverage out in the Far East. MNL, CGK, TPE all places that one would not expect to find them.
#831921 by joeyc
05 Dec 2012, 22:49
Good input guys, interesting stuff..

Gpik wrote:DL have three daily flights

DL3 6.20pm
DL1 7.25pm
DL5 9.15pm

Gpik


I was not sure on this one and did check their flight map, only one flight showing into JFK from LHR. Got a link to the info? I am probably looking in the wrong place :#

willd wrote:3. DL/VS will want to try and head off the BA/AA JV. This will mean the hourly shuttle runs that Scrooge has spoken about. They will fiddle with the slots- ok it might not be as streamlined as the BA/AA offering but I think it will happen.


From the surface it does look to be a sound move, however in order to do it, they will have to sacrifice routes.. I still don't think VS will see the returns from doing so. It may open up a greater selection of direct routes from LHR though, that def deserves a y)
#831927 by tontybear
05 Dec 2012, 22:57
joeyc wrote:Good input guys, interesting stuff..

Gpik wrote:DL have three daily flights

DL3 6.20pm
DL1 7.25pm
DL5 9.15pm

Gpik


I was not sure on this one and did check their flight map, only one flight showing into JFK from LHR. Got a link to the info? I am probably looking in the wrong place :#



DL do have three LHR-JFK flights a day but GPIK listed the JFK to LHR flights and times

LHR to JFK times are

DL4 - 9.40AM
DL6 - 12.50PM
DL3 - 5.50PM

(return legs as listed by GPIK)

(looks like they have renumbered as when I flew on the 12.50 PM flight is was DL148)
#831942 by at240
06 Dec 2012, 01:54
joeyc wrote:Would they even have enough interest to fill a flight an hour?!? I say no.. xx( Delta has 1 LHR to NYC VS has 4.. appear to be missing a few. I think that any DL involvement will be trying to push a VS flight or two to its hub in ATL, will be an interesting result for VX though won't it :?

VS has 6 daily flights to NYC - 3,45,1,9,25,17. Add DL's three and you get an hourly service between say 9 am and 5 pm.
#831955 by joeyc
06 Dec 2012, 11:19
at240 wrote:VS has 6 daily flights to NYC - 3,45,1,9,25,17. Add DL's three and you get an hourly service between say 9 am and 5 pm.


However into JFK there are only 4... keep Newark out of this :P

Ok, I conceed, appears they do have the demand to do a flight an hour into NYC from LHR in a tie up with DL |:)

Would still prefer to be on a VS service than a DL one though 8D
#831962 by slinky09
06 Dec 2012, 11:41
Here'san interesting article arguing how this would be a bad deal for VS, it makes some key points and states a few things I hadn't known. That said, it IS journalism!
#831966 by tontybear
06 Dec 2012, 12:07
slinky09 wrote:Here'san interesting article arguing how this would be a bad deal for VS, it makes some key points and states a few things I hadn't known. That said, it IS journalism!


Yes an interesting read. Not sure he is comparing like with like when he says the VS cabin is 'tony' (I assume its a typo and he meant tiny).

True the lgw 747s only have 14 so he should have compared it to the LHR fleet. How many J seats does DL have on its planes?
#832108 by JCBR
09 Dec 2012, 17:55
It would be very interesting to see, should this go through, what will happen with the Flying Club program. I would expect it to be retained (as all the other sky team members do) but DL does not own significant shares in the other sky team members so maybe they will bring it close to the DL program which I actually think would be a good thing.

The addition of a Platinum and Diamond level would really bring VS into line with the other major carriers and something that I feel has been missing a long time. Flying Club sort of fizzles out once you get to Gold.

Apart from DL the skyteam members don't exactly excite me but a DL/VS makes sense.
#832110 by willd
09 Dec 2012, 18:36
JCBR wrote:It would be very interesting to see, should this go through, what will happen with the Flying Club program. I would expect it to be retained (as all the other sky team members do) but DL does not own significant shares in the other sky team members so maybe they will bring it close to the DL program which I actually think would be a good thing.

The addition of a Platinum and Diamond level would really bring VS into line with the other major carriers and something that I feel has been missing a long time. Flying Club sort of fizzles out once you get to Gold.

Apart from DL the skyteam members don't exactly excite me but a DL/VS makes sense.


For some reason I feel it will be that VS Flying Club will fall into Flying Blue of KL/AF rather than Skymiles of DL.

Lets not forget that AF/KL will be taking a, possibly (depending on what SRB Retains, larger share than DL.

Also worth remembering that VS could end up using some of the KL/AF slots ex LHR to expand. I haven't seen that mentioned too much.
#832115 by joeyc
09 Dec 2012, 21:32
David wrote:http://www.thesundaytimes.co.uk/sto/business/Industry/article1172853.ece

An update from The Sunday Times

David


:? Huh, never considered the sale of the nearly the whole company could be on the table... Let's just hope that those at the top keep the VS course just and true.

willd wrote:Also worth remembering that VS could end up using some of the KL/AF slots ex LHR to expand. I haven't seen that mentioned too much.


That it is. With the intro of domestic routes and the use of the existing slots, it does not leave much in the way of expansion from LHR to other destinations... the alternative would be to increase flight numbers out of LGW, not quite sure how well they would fair with the main feed going into LHR :?

Much to think about it seems, let's just hope that VS continues to pursue their oddly unique service and product styles whatever the outcome 8D
#832125 by JCBR
09 Dec 2012, 23:01
I still remain completely unconvinced that SRB will relinquish any of his stake and it is the SQ 49% that will get shared out. I presume he is making the right noises now in order to get the deal to move forward but if KLM want part of the action it will be within the SQ shareholding (if at all).

I would not be surprised if there are talks with another party as well and this publicity is part of the negotiating tactics. A deal totally unrelated to DL would not be a shock.
#832128 by at240
09 Dec 2012, 23:07
JCBR wrote:I still remain completely unconvinced that SRB will relinquish any of his stake and it is the SQ 49% that will get shared out. I presume he is making the right noises now in order to get the deal to move forward but if KLM want part of the action it will be within the SQ shareholding (if at all).

Not so long ago I would have shared this view, but I am beginning to wonder...

Am I the only person who feels a bit gloomy about all of this? The uncertainty is unsettling in itself, plus the prospect of a DL/AF/KLM + SkyTeam tie-up hasn't exactly set my pulse racing (except for the wrong reasons...).
#832130 by David
09 Dec 2012, 23:13
JCBR wrote:I still remain completely unconvinced that SRB will relinquish any of his stake


I agree and would be stunned if he did sell up. Let's remember he sold his "first" company, Virgin Records to invest into his airline.

Virgin records , the company that started the whole Virgin empire

David
#832137 by slinky09
10 Dec 2012, 08:02
clarkeysntfc wrote:I definitely don't fancy an alliance with 'Scare France'


LOL ... AF certainly does have a poor reputation.

Seems that this is the crunch week, is it goodbye VS, a new dawn, or business as usual?
#832166 by mitchja
10 Dec 2012, 12:57
craigmonster wrote:From today's Guardian:

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2012 ... rd-branson

Odd language about the Virgin brand going? Why wouldn't any other airline want to exploit, what is a widely accepted, quality brand, especially in the air?


It's only WW that is quoted as saying that.
#832167 by slinky09
10 Dec 2012, 13:04
So now we know what happened to the Nice, Cairo and Jeddah slots, VS didn't take them. Which surprises me, the Cairo and Jeddah flights for BMI were reputedly profitable, and Nice is always a potentially high yield route and was great for BMI in the past ... guess we have some more surprises in store.
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