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#440466 by clarkeysntfc
09 Apr 2008, 08:54
Shame, but I think their pricing structure was never going to be sustainable in today's climate with oil prices etc.
#440470 by slinky09
09 Apr 2008, 09:17
Originally posted by clarkeysntfc
Shame, but I think their pricing structure was never going to be sustainable in today's climate with oil prices etc.


Does make you wonder which of the LCCs here will be first to buckle?
#440519 by willd
09 Apr 2008, 13:23
Originally posted by clarkeysntfc
Shame, but I think their pricing structure was never going to be sustainable in today's climate with oil prices etc.


True but a thread on a.net earlier in the week highlighted that O8's prices were not that much different to the likes of VS in Y from London and CX in Y from YVR. There was something like £50 difference.

So in the space of ten days we have seen:
Aloha
ATA
Champion
Skybus
Oasis

Times really are tough and no wonder VS is getting a bit edgy at the moment.

With regard to UK LCC's I cant really see any of the major players (EZY, FR, BE, WW) going.
#440522 by McCoy
09 Apr 2008, 14:17
Is it just about money? Are these airlines going out of business purely because they're making a loss? Presumably internal structures have a lot to do with it? For example. what is it about FlyGlobespan that means it is still operating??
#440528 by clarkeysntfc
09 Apr 2008, 14:39
Cash flow problems account for far more business failrues than not being profitable, and i'd expect that is what happened here...
#440535 by roadrunner
09 Apr 2008, 15:49
US Skybus just went under as well -- an innovative venture to fly out of regional air force bases with $10-$30 seats....was successful enough to knock Southwest out in Greensboro and Columbus but couldn't handle the recession.

RR
#440538 by flyingfox
09 Apr 2008, 16:58
With all these LCC going under I dread to think what this is going to do for airfares! [;)]
#440543 by willd
09 Apr 2008, 17:28
Originally posted by McCoy
Is it just about money? Are these airlines going out of business purely because they're making a loss? Presumably internal structures have a lot to do with it? For example. what is it about FlyGlobespan that means it is still operating??


GSM has been helped greatly by the work of its sister/parent company Globespan travel agent/tour operator. IIRC, the Globespan Group PLC is one of the largest tour operators to Canada and also a very large travel agent in Scotland. This means it is to keep unprofitable parts of the company afloat. This is exactly what SRB does also- remember the selling of 49% of VS to SQ, well at that time it was in order to bring some much need liquidity into the Virgin Megastores which were struggling.
#440545 by mike-smashing
09 Apr 2008, 17:35
Originally posted by willd
Times really are tough and no wonder VS is getting a bit edgy at the moment.


Yep, I don't think the current things like review of IFBT services, as disheartening as they are, are knee jerk reactions from VS. I suspect they are part of a longer term plan to maintain some sort of survivability though the current climate.

Mike
#440548 by willd
09 Apr 2008, 17:55
I see that VS are now offering special fares for those O8 customers that are affected.
#440571 by Scrooge
09 Apr 2008, 20:39
Originally posted by clarkeysntfc
Cash flow problems account for far more business failrues than not being profitable, and i'd expect that is what happened here...


From what I have heard this was a major problem with them, it soon became clear that buying advance tickets was not needed as O* were constantly throwing sales, with only two routes and no long term cash flow the writing was on the wall with the way oil as shot up, a shame really as their product was pretty good from what I heard.

Also...there are now 5 744's sitting around..with RR engines, well maintained (ex SQ birds I think) could be got for a nice price probably, help out an airline that is having aircraft shortages...

Ok not so subtle...VS pick up one or two FFS....fly them on the LGW routes...who cares about those pax [:0]


Before anyone goes nuts..thats a joke..but a good chance none the less to pick up a couple of 744's [?]
#440580 by mike-smashing
09 Apr 2008, 21:24
Originally posted by Scrooge
Also...there are now 5 744's sitting around..with RR engines, well maintained (ex SQ birds I think) could be got for a nice price probably, help out an airline that is having aircraft shortages...

Ok not so subtle...VS pick up one or two FFS....fly them on the LGW routes...who cares about those pax [:0]


The two ex-SQ aircraft are P&W engined. The other three, ex-ANA are a better fit: GE CF6 engines, the same as the VS fleet, and ISTR already fitted with MAS 3000 IFE (i.e. the base platform for v:port).

Mike
#440582 by Scrooge
09 Apr 2008, 21:50
I could of sworn they were RR powered..oh well thanks Mike for correcting me....again.... I don't see it happening, but one never knows.
#440619 by Denzil
10 Apr 2008, 10:38
Interesting to read in another article that Oasis bought the aircraft as leasing was proving difficult, same article say's that KPMG are hopeful of investment to keep Oasis as a going concern. With the current fuel prices, IFBT issues etc I think you'll find VS lack the funds to go & buy a couple of B744's!!
#440641 by Scrooge
10 Apr 2008, 13:19
But Boeing doesn't
#440651 by mike-smashing
10 Apr 2008, 15:08
Originally posted by Scrooge
But Boeing doesn't


This was exactly my thinking when I said this in the first instance.

Boeing's leasing company pick up the airframes and dish them out on attractive terms to early 787 customers who already operate a compatible fleet.

Mike
#440655 by Scrooge
10 Apr 2008, 15:27
Originally posted by mike-smashing
Originally posted by Scrooge
But Boeing doesn't


This was exactly my thinking when I said this in the first instance.

Boeing's leasing company pick up the airframes and dish them out on attractive terms to early 787 customers who already operate a compatible fleet.

Mike


Great minds and all that....though not the best replacement for the 788, it flies, it has seats, it will work in some form.
#440663 by willd
10 Apr 2008, 16:54
Originally posted by mike-smashing
Originally posted by Scrooge
But Boeing doesn't


This was exactly my thinking when I said this in the first instance.

Boeing's leasing company pick up the airframes and dish them out on attractive terms to early 787 customers who already operate a compatible fleet.

Mike


Couple of problems with that:
1. Airlines that are bringing in the 787 would prefer the 777 as an alternative as its more compatible with regards to being of similar density and better to use on routes destined for the 787.
2. The 330 is a much better stopgap measure to the 787 and QF/JQ have already announced they will be using the 330 as a stop gap.
3. The 767 would be a better option also as closer density wise.

So really to have the 744 as a stop gap meausre would be a fourth choice for most future 787 operators and would result in a lot of over capacity- not really good at a time when everyone is trying to cut costs.

Previously the leasing company has only really worked in part exchange deals, so SQ gave Boeing 343's in return for 77W's. Whilst in theory they could buy the planes am not sure how keen they will be to do that. I would imagine we are more than likley to see ILFC or some other major leasing company pick these boys up.

I would imagine we will end up seeing the a/c at someone like Transaero or Corsair.
#440668 by Scrooge
10 Apr 2008, 17:42
Or they will get turned into freighters
Virgin Atlantic

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