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#882187 by David
07 Sep 2014, 07:03
Sunday Times business section reporting Little Red to close.

HOWEVER, it then says CK says that LR is still in its growth phase, but its looks at it through the same lens as the rest of the business.

http://www.thesundaytimes.co.uk/sto/bus ... 455799.ece

To read article if link doesnt work, google "Little Red to close, sunday times"

David
#882188 by David
07 Sep 2014, 07:19
I would hope this is sloppy reporting and someone is putting 2 and 2 together and getting 3 after reading about the route changes, but articles like this cant bring much confidence for forward bookings v(

David
#882191 by buns
07 Sep 2014, 07:49
David wrote:I would hope this is sloppy reporting and someone is putting 2 and 2 together and getting 3 after reading about the route changes, but articles like this cant bring much confidence for forward bookings v(

David



Inclined to agree - but for the Sunday Times to run this as its lead business story would suggest more :?

buns
#882194 by horburyflyer
07 Sep 2014, 08:42
Interesting article... ?|

LR has been performing well by all accounts so would be really surprised if this was true, but after this last week, anything and everything is clearly up for review.

In the last week I have taken two LR flights with loads in excess of 110 with the majority connecting to/from VS long haul flights.

If this becomes a reality it would leave me with one choice, to transfer my weekly flights to/from LHR back to BA which doesn't even worth thinking about.

Jon
Last edited by horburyflyer on 07 Sep 2014, 20:17, edited 1 time in total.
#882195 by tugpilot
07 Sep 2014, 08:54
LR doesn't really fit the new strategy though- I think Mr Keeper and the DL boys don't see themselves as the thorn in BAs side now but something rather different.

Can anyone remind me what would happen to the slots if they stop say next spring.
#882196 by David
07 Sep 2014, 09:01
tugpilot wrote:
Can anyone remind me what would happen to the slots if they stop say next spring.


I believe they can't be used for transatlantic flights, only a few specific UK and European flights so they revert back to the IAG group but I stand to be corrected. (but think the MAN slots are different ?| )

David
#882198 by mitchja
07 Sep 2014, 09:24
Sure I read somewhere that the VLR MAN slots are VS's to do with as they choose, hence why VS have been switching between 3 or 4 flights a day on that route.

I'm guessing (going off my experience often seeing poor loads), that's the route that's not really working for VS anyway.
#882199 by gumshoe
07 Sep 2014, 09:40
mitchja wrote:Sure I read somewhere that the VLR MAN slots are VS's to do with as they choose, hence why VS have been switching between 3 or 4 flights a day on that route.

I'm guessing (going off my experience often seeing poor loads), that's the route that's not really working for VS anyway.


A crew member on my EDI-LHR flight a couple of weeks ago told me while EDI is doing best in terms of total pax numbers, MAN has the highest proportion of long-haul connecting pax.

As I understand it, the MAN slots are VS's to do with as they please but the EDI & ABZ slots are heavily restricted. VS would lose them if it gave them up in the first 3 years (and we're only 18 months in) - but even then IAG or whoever else took them on could only use them on four other routes. After 3 years the restrictions become less onerous and VS would "own" them but they could apparently still only be used for Europe plus Moscow (which it couldn't fly to anyway), Cairo or Riyadh. Not TATL.

Very sad if true. It's a good little service. But things are clearly changing and changing fast under DL and returning to profitability is obviously the number one priority. True, ditching LR early would mean sacrificing 9 slots but if they're not slots that VS/DL could use for long haul flights, that's no great loss for them if LR's losing money.

The MAN slots, on the other hand, would be very useful - they alone would no doubt justify ditching the entire LR network. 0850, 1225, 1645 and 2010 are all perfectly feasible US departure times ...
#882201 by slinky09
07 Sep 2014, 10:08
gumshoe wrote:The MAN slots, on the other hand, would be very useful - they alone would no doubt justify ditching the entire LR network. 0850, 1225, 1645 and 2010 are all perfectly feasible US departure times ...


Except these are not LH slots, they're domestic or European in terms of allocation (previously leased to Air Cyprus). So VS would be better selling them IMO.

It'll be a shame for LR to fold, but only VS knows whether the connection traffic is worth the effort, as stand alone O&D routes I can't see them ever really turning a profit.
#882202 by gumshoe
07 Sep 2014, 10:12
slinky09 wrote:Except these are not LH slots, they're domestic or European in terms of allocation (previously leased to Air Cyprus).


I was under the impression the MAN slots can be used by VS on any route for which it has traffic rights. Isn't DL currently using one of them for SEA (the lunchtime one, which reverts back to MAN next month)?

Only the ABZ & EDI slots are restricted I thought.
#882203 by slinky09
07 Sep 2014, 10:52
gumshoe wrote:
slinky09 wrote:Except these are not LH slots, they're domestic or European in terms of allocation (previously leased to Air Cyprus).


I was under the impression the MAN slots can be used by VS on any route for which it has traffic rights. Isn't DL currently using one of them for SEA (the lunchtime one, which reverts back to MAN next month)?

Only the ABZ & EDI slots are restricted I thought.


Well you may be right, I didn't think so however since these were T1 slots. Also, the fourth was on loan from DL not the other way around.
#882204 by mitchja
07 Sep 2014, 10:53
Was looking to book some VLR flights for next year and I noticed the MAN VLR flights are back down to 3 again for next summer.
#882205 by gumshoe
07 Sep 2014, 11:00
slinky09 wrote:Well you may be right, I didn't think so however since these were T1 slots. Also, the fourth was on loan from DL not the other way around.


Ah yes, you're right about the 4th slot, I'd forgotten that.

There's an interesting discussion going on here, where I saw the info about the other 3 MAN slots - may be wrong though I guess: http://www.airliners.net/aviation-forum ... n/6174181/

Does the Sunday Times article give any indication about timescale? I haven't got a subscription so can only see the first few lines.
#882210 by tontybear
07 Sep 2014, 12:52
See post #27 in this Flyer Talk thread where some one posts that they had been told that staff had been given letters saying LR would run for 5 years not the initial 3.

And I had seen a similar comment on another board (and not by the same person)

:? :? :?
#882212 by StarGuy
07 Sep 2014, 13:00
I wonder if Virgin could do a slot swap with an airline such as Saudi Arabian or Egypt Air so that the remedy slots are still being used following all restrictions, and VS now have a pair of slots that are not covered by such restrictions? Did that make sense?
#882219 by LREDI
07 Sep 2014, 16:18
I think VS needs to come out and say something about this, uncertainly over LR is not helping. I am due to fly with them again in October and November, will it still operate?!

Staggering bad pr from VS point of view with the network changes last week a press release on Little Red may have been due in a few weeks?
#882221 by vscxfan
07 Sep 2014, 16:57
Most eastbound l-h traffic ex MAN is already routing via the Gulf with the ME3 or via AMS or CDG with AF/KL; so, once westbound l-h ex MAN can feed itself with VS or DL direct flights to JFK and ATL as well as established VS originating traffic to MCO, BGI (in summer) and LAS, why not redeploy 2 or 3 MAN-LHR slots to EDI and/or ABZ (where there's still room to grow, minimise losses on the deal with EI)and make BA continue to compete for l-h TATL pax from the UK regions?
#882225 by gumshoe
07 Sep 2014, 17:44
Having finally read the full article in the paper (courtesy of the ever-excellent Escape lounge at MAN - I'm not paying for a Murdoch rag!), it appears to be very light on facts and very heavy on padding.

No attributable quotes - just a vague reference to "senior aviation industry sources" who say "it is set to be closed as part of a review led by Craig Kreeger".

So it may be true, or it may not. Maybe it's as simple as the Aer Lingus wet lease contract is due for renewal, and VS have told them they're not renewing, prompting someone at EI to put 2 and 2 together and make 5. Other partners are available though ...

I'm on the VS3044 in an hour, will see if the crew know anything!
#882229 by LREDI
07 Sep 2014, 18:06
Wouldn't risk it in my opinion taking it in house, unless DL could offer some backing to it, aircraft etc. This way they keep options open to cut it whenever. The EI contract runs out in Feb 15 doesn't it? In which case I would suspect services may cease then if they do.
#882230 by CHill710
07 Sep 2014, 18:09
I have just got off the LHR MAN. The crew say they have called VS who say it is not true but they think it is a little strange to say that little red will close.

Would be a shame if they do go some of the best flights I have been on have been little reds.

(Waves to gumshoe upstairs!)
#882232 by vscxfan
07 Sep 2014, 18:13
gumshoe wrote:Having finally read the full article in the paper (courtesy of the ever-excellent Escape lounge at MAN - I'm not paying for a Murdoch rag!), it appears to be very light on facts and very heavy on padding.

No attributable quotes - just a vague reference to "senior aviation industry sources" who say "it is set to be closed as part of a review led by Craig Kreeger".

So it may be true, or it may not. Maybe it's as simple as the Aer Lingus wet lease contract is due for renewal, and VS have told them they're not renewing, prompting someone at EI to put 2 and 2 together and make 5. Other partners are available though ...

I'm on the VS3044 in an hour, will see if the crew know anything!


Closing (EI-operated) Little Red because it's no longer needed wouldn't constitute a U-turn anyway. As for the article (whose cred is already strained by claiming Craig Kreeger is ex-DL), which of these statements sounds more credible, authoritative and rational in the context of a VS/DL joint venture:

1) "senior aviation industry sources said it was set to be closed as part of a review..." or

2) "Virgin Atlantic said...Little Red must deliver on performance, potential or strategic contribution. Little Red is still in its growth phase; so it's too early to comment on these criteria"?
Virgin Atlantic

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